Charting Horse Value
Horse Race Handicapping

RACE OF THE DAY · AUGUST 22, 2026

2026 Pacific Classic: Picks, Analysis & Wagering Strategy

Del Mar Race 10 · A hot Pace 9 makes Late Speed central to the handicap.

CHV uses modeled win probability, price, pace, Late Speed and the full factor profile to narrow Del Mar's signature race to a focused wagering decision.

The CHV read

#7 Hit Show is the key value contender. He ranks first in Late Speed, PFIG and BFIG, carries a 20.5% modeled win probability and offers +11.7 Value from the morning line. A projected hot pace strengthens the case for using him prominently in the vertical exotics.

Wagering approach

  • Build the main position around the two strongest win candidates.
  • Use #7 Hit Show prominently in exactas and trifectas.
  • Keep the underneath horses limited to runners whose Late Speed fits the projected pace.

Video chapters

  • 0:00 · Pacific Classic setup and app access
  • 0:48 · Select Del Mar Race 10
  • 1:12 · Race conditions, CONF and hot pace
  • 1:30 · Bottom Line shortcut
  • 2:12 · Sort the field by Late Speed
  • 2:20 · The model's most likely winner
  • 3:38 · Why Hit Show tops Late Speed
  • 4:12 · Full model details
  • 5:14 · Contenders and tosses
  • 8:49 · HxS and 1xS target scores
  • 9:30 · Final wagering structure

Why this race qualified

The Pacific Classic shows how a projected pace scenario changes which factors deserve the most weight. Sorting by Late Speed exposes a contender whose probability, price and complete profile support a disciplined wagering plan.