Whitmore 2024
No G2 or G1 races this week so we'll cover the Whitmore Stakes at Oaklawn. There are no Whitmores in this field and this is a soft G3. Pace of the race appears tepid with only two "T" horses with ES>100.
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No G2 or G1 races this week so we'll cover the Whitmore Stakes at Oaklawn. There are no Whitmores in this field and this is a soft G3. Pace of the race appears tepid with only two "T" horses with ES>100.
A sucker for a G1 race named after Beholder. The pace of the race looks fair. There are no real speed burners. You'll see 2 "F" horses and 2 strong "T" horses in the chart above. It will be an advantage to be on or close to the lead.
The difficulty in analyzing these 3yo Kentucky Derby preps is that many horses are very lightly raced and rapidly improving. In the 2024 Fountain of Youth Stakes on Saturday 3/2/24, four of the nine starters have won a single race or less. Four of the nine starters are exiting a race at 7F or less. It is always difficult to...
On Saturday 2/24/24 at Oaklawn Park we have a key Kentucky Derby Prep, the G2 Rebel Stakes. They will race 1 1/16th miles for $1.25M. Full field of 13 drawn in.
A satisfied customer (their words not mine) has been compiling this data all meet. We waited until Arkansas Derby week to ensure large enough sample size to post this blog. My sincerest thanks to him for pulling this data together all meet and allowing me to write this blog.
Thanks to superb customer recommendations, we've made a few improvements to charts.
Minor chart changes including top to bottom sort (now based on PFDS Odds). Watch video below.
Letter Grades (A,B & C) come from a points based system in the charts. They are a good check and balance with the fair odds lines which analyze win probability. They are a good short cut but do not represent an override of the details in the charts. Watch this video for a full explanation. Please comment below with any...
The spot play is a horse that gets a "s" before their letter grade and indicates an especially strong wager for the day. See video above which covers all the races in July.
Watch this video to get an idea how I approach serial wages using my sheets. I will do some follow up on this topic at later date where we actually construct tickets.