2020 Preakness
I'll be posting the sheets, private videos & exotic wagering analysis for the Preakness
Race Analysis Updated After Scratches
R1) Wide open race. Very little pace could hurt favored #4. Like #8 at a price but also a closer. #2 fits race very well and he will be on lead early. #3 is most likely winner. A-3 B-2,8 C-1,4
R2) You will know how turf course is playing but more pace here sets it up well for #8. Fastest horses and most likely winners are the #1, #3. #6 could hit board underneath off the layoff. A-3,8 B-1 C-6
R3) Jockey race and horses that get good early position will be tough to pass. That bodes well for #3 with early speed and #6 who is drawn outside. A-3,6 C-4,5,7
R4) Wide open race with honest pace. Favorite #7 is vulnerable. #5 will try to wire them. A-5 B-2,6 C-3,11
R5) #5 is much fastest and strong single. #2 is great value but may be running for second. #3 will be on early lead and could hit exacta. A-5 B-2,3 C-1,4
R6) #7 threat to wire field. #1 is the value bet. A-7 B-1 C-2,3
R7) Wide open race. #4 is lukewarm value bet. #5 is fast & logical. A-4 B-3,5 C-ALL
R8) #1 is best bet but odds will likely come down. #4 is fast and goes dirt to turf. After that it's wide open. A-1 B-3,4 C-ALL
R9) Very difficult race. Go for a long shot. #6 & #12 offer the best value & odds. #9 can improve at good odds. #10 makes sense. B-6,9,10,12 C-ALL
R10) #8 is solid value and win bet. #5 is most likely winner. #9 is best early speed. #7 has value but likely compromised by #9. #1 was fast on another site. A-5,8 B-9 C-1,7
R11) PREAKNESS: #3 ART COLLECTOR has been very impressive and comes into race rested. Would've been strong contender in the Derby. #9 AUTHENTIC improved dramatically to win Derby and could regress slightly here with more pace in the race. Still a contender to win. #8 MAX PLAYER is the best value in the race and could improve 2nd time for Asmussen. Has several impressive races and gets the pace set-up to hit the board. #4 SWISS SKYDIVER ran a fast Oaks but is heavily raced and was no match for #3 ART COLLECTOR in Blue Grass, so underneath only. #2 MR BIG NEWS improved dramatically in Derby and is eligible to run back to that race or improve again. Class proven now with outside chance to win. #7 NY TRAFFIC is not that good and regressed in Derby. Eligible to bounce back and hit board but can't win. #10 PNEUMATIC is improving with nice workout in SAR but Pegasus pace was slow and gets a bad draw against much tougher. #5 THOUSAND WORDS won a weak prep race and got beaten badly in other preps this year. Will be way over bet.
Best Win bet: #3 ART COLLECTOR
Underneath EX/TRI value: #8 MAX PLAYER.
Longshot WIN: #2 MR BIG NEWS
A-3,9 B-2,8 C-4,7