2020 Preakness

I'll be posting the sheets, private videos & exotic wagering analysis for the Preakness

Race Analysis Updated After Scratches

R1) Wide open race.  Very little pace could hurt favored #4.  Like #8 at a price but also a closer. #2 fits race very well and he will be on lead early.  #3 is most likely winner.  A-3 B-2,8 C-1,4

R2) You will know how turf course is playing but more pace here sets it up well for #8.  Fastest horses and most likely winners are the #1, #3.  #6 could hit board underneath off the layoff.    A-3,8 B-1 C-6

R3) Jockey race and horses that get good early position will be tough to pass.  That bodes well for #3 with early speed and #6 who is drawn outside.  A-3,6 C-4,5,7

R4) Wide open race with honest pace.  Favorite #7 is vulnerable.  #5 will try to wire them.        A-5 B-2,6 C-3,11

R5) #5 is much fastest and strong single.  #2 is great value but may be running for second.  #3 will be on early lead and could hit exacta.  A-5 B-2,3 C-1,4

R6) #7 threat to wire field.  #1 is the value bet.  A-7 B-1 C-2,3

R7) Wide open race.  #4 is lukewarm value bet.  #5 is fast & logical.  A-4 B-3,5 C-ALL

R8) #1 is best bet but odds will likely come down.  #4 is fast and goes dirt to turf.  After that it's wide open.  A-1 B-3,4 C-ALL

R9) Very difficult race.  Go for a long shot.  #6 & #12 offer the best value & odds.  #9 can improve at good odds.  #10 makes sense.  B-6,9,10,12 C-ALL

R10) #8 is solid value and win bet.  #5 is most likely winner.  #9 is best early speed.  #7 has value but likely compromised by #9.  #1 was fast on another site.  A-5,8 B-9 C-1,7

R11) PREAKNESS: #3 ART COLLECTOR has been very impressive and comes into race rested.  Would've been strong contender in the Derby.  #9 AUTHENTIC improved dramatically to win Derby and could regress slightly here with more pace in the race.  Still a contender to win.  #8 MAX PLAYER is the best value in the race and could improve 2nd time for Asmussen.  Has several impressive races and gets the pace set-up to hit the board.  #4 SWISS SKYDIVER ran a fast Oaks but is heavily raced and was no match for #3 ART COLLECTOR in Blue Grass, so underneath only.  #2 MR BIG NEWS improved dramatically in Derby and is eligible to run back to that race or improve again.  Class proven now with outside chance to win. #7 NY TRAFFIC is not that good and regressed in Derby.  Eligible to bounce back and hit board but can't win.  #10 PNEUMATIC is improving with nice workout in SAR but Pegasus pace was slow and gets a bad draw against much tougher.  #5 THOUSAND WORDS won a weak prep race and got beaten badly in other preps this year.  Will be way over bet.

Best Win bet: #3 ART COLLECTOR

Underneath EX/TRI value: #8 MAX PLAYER.  

Longshot WIN: #2 MR BIG NEWS 

A-3,9 B-2,8 C-4,7