September 23, 2026 · Jeff Bessa
The Probability Receipts
What 77,457 starters reveal about how closely CHV's pre-race win probabilities match actual results within 11 probability groups.
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Charting Horse Value
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September 21, 2026
Find the Anchor First
How CHV's HxS + 1xS search found two winners and turned a $20 Woodbine opinion into a $150.40 return.
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Stop Playing Every Daily Double
What 8,065 usable sequences taught us about race quality, clean conditions, and building a more selective two-race ticket.
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Woodbine Mile Picks & Strategy
How CHV used modeled win probability, Value, pace, and Late Speed to single Deterministic.
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Big Winner at Evangeline Downs
How CHV identified #6 Mr. Faversham before a $34.60 win payoff and $133 exacta.
Read on Substack →August 22, 2026
2026 Pacific Classic
See how the CHV mobile app uses pace, Late Speed, modeled win probability, and Value to analyze Del Mar's signature race.
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King's Plate Handicap
Use the CHV mobile app to evaluate pace, contenders, and value in the King's Plate.
Read on Substack →July 4, 2026
Saratoga Results Analysis
A candid review of how Charting Horse Value performed on the July 3 Saratoga card.
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New and Improved CHV
An introduction to the faster, flexible Charting Horse Value experience.
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PFDS Odds (now PFIG)
04/27/2021
UPDATE: PFDS Odds has been replaced with PFIG. BEST Odds has been replaced by BFIG. The win probability W% is the new default sort and where the VALUE is calculated.
Pace (updated)
08/25/2020
Pace is the "P" in PFDS and is accounted for in the PFDS ODDS (now PFIG) but sometimes people want to see the figures for themselves....
Trainer Jockey Rating (TJR)
07/22/2020
UPDATE: The Trainer Jockey Rating (TJR) replaces the trainer score. It is more detailed and in-depth of analysis to drive positive ROI. The TJR score is very important and can be combined with other items:
How to bet the race
07/12/2020
I want to provide some general information about how to bet a race using this data. This data can be used effectively for exotic wagers (exactas, daily doubles), serial wagers (P4, P6), tournament selections and of course simple win, place, show. It is most effective on a race by race basis where you can compare the horse tote odds to...