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Letter Grades (A,B & C) come from a points based system in the charts. They are a good check and balance with the fair odds lines which analyze win probability. They are a good short cut but do not represent an override of the details in the charts. Watch this video for a full explanation. Please comment below with any...
The spot play is a horse that gets a "s" before their letter grade and indicates an especially strong wager for the day. See video above which covers all the races in July.
Watch this video to get an idea how I approach serial wages using my sheets. I will do some follow up on this topic at later date where we actually construct tickets.
Friend of mine uses this angle heavily and hits some gigantic long shots. This angle happens when the horse has a better jockey on it than it should have. Here is the race snap-shot that inspired this blog. Not a long-shot but the #2 has a 0 trainer and a 7 jockey at 4-1. Gets A+ grade and wins.
This is explained briefly in the tutorial and in other blogs but I want to reiterate it here for clarity sake. PFDS Odds (and BEST Odds) are the two most important columns in my spreadsheet. They are also unique to my website. As such, I continuously strive to improve the algorithms & assumptions for these two factors.
I've been wanting to blog about the "RANK" column forever but just kept blowing it off. I'm going to use today's Cigar Mile to talk about it even though this is actually a very difficult race to handicap with an unusual result.
Under the Distance/Surface (DS) column for each race you'll see a new number. This is the race bet rating. It takes into account the warning signs for a race (see previous blog) and the strength of the best bet inside the race. Strong bets have good ABC letter grades like A/K and good VALUE over $10.
Pace is the "P" in PFDS and is accounted for in the PFDS ODDS but sometimes people want to see the figures for themselves....
Some races just are not worth betting or the VALUE we are estimating is wrong and thus you should proceed with caution.
As stated in our Winning Streak blog, you want horses with good letter grade (A or K) and good value (>$10) but of course these are hard to find. Let's say you got a C horse with $6 of value that's ranked 3rd (from top) in the sheet. Before you bet...