Charting Horse Value

Race of the Day Library

Focused, quantitative race analysis built from modeled win probability, value, pace, fair odds and wagering strategy. Open any race for the full video, key factors, chapters and wager.

Race of the Day · October 3, 2026

First Lady Stakes · Keeneland Race 8

#8 Segesta is CHV’s most likely winner at 26.8%. #6 Deep Satin is the value alternative in a projected Pace 10 turf mile.

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October 3, 2026

First Lady Stakes · Keeneland R8

#8 Segesta leads the model at 26.8%, while #6 Deep Satin supplies the value alternative in a projected Pace 10 turf mile.

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October 1, 2026

Winner · $3.02 · Exacta $3.34

Gallant Bloom · #5 R Disaster

#5 R Disaster delivered the recommended key single. The ice-cold #5–#1 exacta matched the Bottom Line exotics.

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September 26, 2026

Lukas Classic · Churchill Downs R10

#4 Banishing anchors the win, exacta and Daily Double plans from a rare Both 9.1 target score.

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September 19, 2026

Pennsylvania Derby · Parx R14

#7 Further Ado is the win selection, with Iron Honor and The Puma supporting the exotic strategy.

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September 12, 2026

Woodbine Mile · Race 9

Why #1 Deterministic became the single and how Late Speed shaped the horses used underneath.

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September 5, 2026

Winner · $6.80

Del Mar Race 2 · Balnikhov

A 41.5% model probability and a market price well above fair odds produced a major overlay.

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September 4, 2026

Saratoga Race 3

A slow-pace race narrowed to a compact 3-5-7 primary approach with two defensive alternatives.

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August 30, 2026

Kentucky Downs Race 9

Probability, price and course dynamics combine in a disciplined wagering process for a large field.

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August 29, 2026

Winner · $11.40

Forego Stakes · #2 Hymn

#2 Hymn was CHV’s value selection and won at 4.7-1, returning $11.40.

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August 28, 2026

Saratoga Race 8

A concise race read built from modeled probability, factor ranks, value and the projected pace.

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August 27, 2026

Winner · $5.34

Saratoga Race 4 · #1 Alternate Reality

#1 Alternate Reality was CHV’s primary win selection and delivered, returning $5.34.

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August 22, 2026

Pacific Classic · Del Mar R10

A hot Pace 9 puts Late Speed at the center of the handicap, with #7 Hit Show supplying the key value signal.

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